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Nike has underperformed the market and its sector since mid-2021, but recently growth expectations from analysts have bottomed. With China's growth showing signs of a rebound and valuation near its historical low, it could be time for a comeback. We'll discuss how to set up an options trade to bet on a turnaround. Nike (NKE) has formed a triple bottom at the $90 support level over the past 3 years and recently it just bounced higher off this support. I'm going out to the June expiration to buy the $92.5/$100 call vertical at a $2.99 Debit.
Persons: We'll, I'm Organizations: Nike, Paris Olympics Locations: China
Hong Kong CNN —Chinese leaders have pledged to achieve an ambitious growth rate this year, while reshaping its economic model to focus on technology innovation. On Tuesday, Premier Li Qiang announced that economic growth target of around 5% for 2024, which he said “will not be easy” to hit, given that a Covid-battered 2022 had provided a lower base of growth for last year. “The level of support is likely too little to rocket the economy to its 5% growth target this year,” said Sarah Tan, an economist at Moody’s, referring to the measures announced by Li Tuesday. “China is walking a tightrope on the fiscal front between infrastructure stimulus and LGFV [local government financing vehicle] deleveraging,” said Goldman Sachs analysts on Wednesday. In order to achieve the ambitious 5% growth target, more specific stimulus is needed, such as increasing manufacturing investments, Liu said.
Persons: Li Qiang, , , Sarah Tan, Li Tuesday, Goldman Sachs, Li, ” Nomura, Xi Jinping, Peiqian Liu, Liu, Pan Gongsheng Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, AFP, Getty, Goldman, Fidelity International, People’s Bank of China, Jefferies Locations: China, Hong Kong, Beijing, , Asia,
CNBC Daily Open: U.S. services pace slows slightly
  + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Dow's steep declineWall Street ended lower Tuesday as the broader market was dragged by sharp declines in major tech stocks. China growth pushChina may need to resort to an old tactic to hit its ambitious growth target this year. President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump hold commanding leads in the polls of their respective parties.
Persons: Dow, Bitcoin, Wang Dan, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Jerome Powell, Powell, Paul Meeks Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Apple, Hang Seng Bank, Capitol, Nvidia, Veteran, CNBC Pro Locations: China, Beijing
CNBC Daily Open: U.S. services activity moderates
  + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Overnight, U.S. markets were dragged lower by sharp declines in major tech stocks. China growth pushChina may need to resort to an old tactic to hit its ambitious growth target this year. AI adoption rateA global survey found AI adoption rate for businesses is yet to match the hype around the technology.
Persons: Hong, Dow, Bitcoin, Wang Dan, Jeremy Hunt, Paul Meeks Organizations: CNBC, CSI, Nikkei, Nasdaq, Apple, Hang Seng Bank, Finance, Conservative Party, Nvidia, Veteran, CNBC Pro Locations: Hong Kong, Asia, China, Beijing
Oil fell slightly as China growth worries clash with output cuts
  + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Oil prices fell slightly on Wednesday as concerns about demand growth in China, the world's biggest crude importer, clashed with signs of supply tightness amid output cuts by major producers. Oil prices fell slightly on Wednesday as concerns about demand growth in China, the world's biggest crude importer, clashed with signs of supply tightness amid output cuts by major producers. The 'risk off' nature of recent trading was underscored by the fall in Treasury yields, which also pressured oil prices. "Crude oil futures edged lower amid the risk-off tone across markets. If the EIA reports a crude storage build, it will be the sixth straight week of rising oil stocks in the country.
Persons: Daniel Hynes Organizations: Brent, U.S, West Texas, Treasury, of, Petroleum, ANZ, American Petroleum Institute, U.S . Energy, Administration Locations: China, OPEC, Yemen, Saudi Arabia, Asia
An oil and gas industry worker walks during operations of a drilling rig at Zhetybay field in the Mangystau region, Kazakhstan, November 13, 2023. Crude oil futures fell for a second consecutive day Tuesday as China's pledge to boost economic growth and OPEC+ production cuts failed to lift prices. The West Texas Intermediate contract for April dropped 72 cents, or 0.91%, to $78.02 a barrel. May Brent futures shed 57 cents, or 0.69%, to $82.83 a barrel. The Beijing government on Tuesday set an economic growth target of about 5% for 2024 and announced the issuance of $138.9 billion in "ultra-long" special Treasury bonds to fund major projects.
Persons: Brent Organizations: West Texas Intermediate Locations: Mangystau, Kazakhstan, Beijing
That's far less than in the previous years — the share of U.S. dollars in total VC funds raised was around 15% for the years 2018 to 2021, the data showed. China investments, China exitsWashington and Beijing in 2022 resolved a long-standing audit dispute that reduced the risk of Chinese companies having to delist from U.S. stock exchanges. "With U.S. IPOs no longer being a viable exit strategy for China assets, investors should target local exits in their respective capital markets—in other words, China exits for China assets, and U.S. exits for overseas assets," Liao said. The 20 largest VC deals for China-headquartered companies in 2013 were predominantly in e-commerce and software services, according to PitchBook data. ... the venture capital scene has become even more state-concentrated and focused on government priorities.
Persons: China’s renminbi, Athit Perawongmetha, Kyle Stanford, China —, Liao Ming, Stocks, Liao, Didi, Beijing's, Camille Boullenois Organizations: Reuters, Reuters BEIJING — Venture, Liao Ming, U.S, Sequoia, Prospect, Capital, New York Stock Exchange Locations: U.S, Bangkok, Thailand, Reuters BEIJING, China, Sequoia, Washington, India, Japan, Greater China, Beijing, New York, Hong Kong, U.S . Washington
But Jason Hsu, chairman and chief investment officer of Rayliant Global Advisors, believes that one stock will come out ahead. Hsu believes that as the EV market consolidates, BYD is "for sure going to emerge a winner." One potential curveball for the Chinese EV market is a U.S. decision to raise tariffs, which is reportedly under discussion . But Hsu believes that the markets have already priced in the possibility that those tariff hikes will be imposed. For global investors who want to buy BYD, its shares are listed on the Hong Kong exchange.
Persons: Tesla, Jason Hsu, CNBC's, Hsu, BYD, CNBC's Tanvir Gill, Evelyn Cheng Organizations: Rayliant Global Advisors, Toyota, Hong, BYD, China Clean Technology, China Growth Locations: That's Hong Kong, BYD, China, U.S, Europe, Hong Kong
As China's electric vehicle market goes from strength to strength, investors worldwide are showing a growing interest in getting involved. The chief investment officer singled out BYD , which recently beat Tesla to become the top global EV maker, as a "favorite" car maker, and battery-making giant Contemporary Amperex Technology ( CATL ). But significant hurdles remain for retail investors before they can be part of China's EV growth story. However, the veteran investor pointed out that ETFs with concentrated positions remain viable options for those seeking exposure to the Chinese EV growth potential. The fund also has a 5% position in Chinese EV maker BYD, according to FactSet data.
Persons: Kingsley Jones, Jevons, CNBC's, BYD, Tesla, Kingsley, Li Auto, BATT, Jones, BATT CGRO Organizations: Jevons Global, Technology, BMW, Hyundai, Honda, China EV, Battery Technology, China Growth, BATT, BYD, CNBC, Alpha, CGRO Locations: Hong Kong, China, U.S, Europe, BYD, Australia, Canberra, Xiaomi
Moody's Investors Service has a negative outlook for sovereign creditworthiness in Asia-Pacific this year, due to China's slower economic growth as well as tight funding and geopolitical risks. China's rebound from the Covid-19 pandemic wasn't as fast as several economists had expected at the start of 2023. In a Jan. 15 report, Moody's predicted China's real GDP growth would slow to 4% this year and next, from an average of 6% between 2014 and 2023. The credit rating agency said the slowdown in China's growth "significantly influences" APAC economies because of its strong integration in global supply chains. Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, among other major international investment banks, predict China's economy to grow at a slower pace of 4.6% in 2024, down from 5.2% expected for 2023.
Persons: Moody's, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Moody's, National Bureau of Statistics Locations: Asia, Pacific
An electronic board shows Shanghai and Shenzhen stock indexes, at the Lujiazui financial district in Shanghai, China October 25, 2022. But the extent of the political and economic jitters merely mirrors other signs of a long-term China exit well beyond portfolio flows. Earlier this month, China recorded its first-ever quarterly deficit in "bricks and mortar" foreign direct investment (FDI). What's more, a multi-year aversion to China investments then risks colliding with deteriorating long-term economic growth dynamics - heightened by rising youth unemployment and dire demographics. Despite some recent upgrades of China growth forecasts, yet another business survey this week raised red flags.
Persons: Aly, Gina Raimondo, Nicholas Lardy, Xi, Lardy, What's, Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley's, Mike Dolan, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, Official Monetary, Financial, Reuters, . Commerce, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, OMFIF, Europe, North America, India, Brazil, Beijing, U.S, Washington, San Francisco
CNBC Daily Open: The heat is truly on COP28
  + stars: | 2023-11-30 | by ( Clement Tan | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Japan's Nikkei 225 closed 0.5% higher, clocking monthly gains of more than 8%, while South Korea's KOSPI finished the day up 0.6%, advancing more than 11% this month. [PRO] Golden crossesThree stocks are on the verge of taking off, according to a chart pattern closely watched by technical analysts. The phenomenon, known as a "golden cross," occurs when a stock's 50-day moving average share price rises above the longer-term 200-day moving average.
Persons: KOSPI, China's, Rebooting, Sam Altman, Altman Organizations: Expo, CNBC, Nikkei, Dow Jones, National Bureau of Statistics, Microsoft, Auto, United Auto Workers, Volvo, BMW, Mercedes, Benz, Hyundai, Honda, Toyota, Detroit, General Motors Locations: Dubai, United Arab Emirates, Asia, Pacific, South, Hong Kong, China, OpenAI, U.S
The deal to acquire investment firm Carlyle's (CG.O) 28% holding in the burger chain's China business, which also includes its stores in Hong Kong and Macau, will see McDonald's stake rise to 48%. Since 2017, the number of McDonald's stores in China has doubled to 5,500 and the country has become its second-largest market. McDonald's made an unsolicited offer for Carlyle's stake in the China operations in recent weeks and the deal was struck quickly, said the sources. Reuters reported in August that Trustar Capital was planning to raise a continuation fund that would allow the Chinese private equity firm to sell down its stake in McDonald's China. In contrast to McDonald's, U.S. meat and processed food maker Tyson Foods (TSN.N) plans to sell its China poultry business, sources have said.
Persons: Benoit Tessier, Chris Kempczinski, McDonald's, Carlyle, Trustar, Jim Sanderson, Reckitt, Kane Wu, Granth, Deborah Sophia, Roxanne Liu, Edwina Gibbs Organizations: REUTERS, HK, CITIC, Trustar, Northcoast Research, Reuters, Tyson Foods, Primavera Capital, Thomson Locations: Bretigny, Paris, France, China, Hong Kong, Macau, CITIC, U.S, McDonald's China, British, Bengaluru, Beijing
(Photo by Costfoto/NurPhoto via Getty Images) Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesBEIJING — China on Wednesday reported better-than-expected retail sales and industrial data for October, while the real estate drag worsened. Retail sales grew by 7.6% last month from a year ago, above the 7% growth forecast by a Reuters poll. watch nowWithin retail sales, sports and other leisure entertainment products saw sales surge by 25.7% in October from a year ago, the data showed. The International Monetary Fund last week cited Beijing's policy announcements as a reason to raise its China growth forecast for the year to 5.4%. Real estate and related sectors have accounted for about a quarter of China's gross domestic product.
Persons: Gita Gopinath Organizations: Getty, Nurphoto, Retail, Reuters, Investment, National Bureau of Statistics, Catering, Monetary Fund, IMF, CNBC, UBS Locations: CHONGQING, CHINA, Chongqing, China, BEIJING, Beijing
Chinese stocks too have done poorly. 'High confidence in the tradable value' While the Chinese economy "is not very strong," Wong has "high confidence in the tradable value," of Chinese stocks. Stocks to play Goldman is overweight on several sectors including online retail, media/entertainment, tech hardware, health care equipment and services and food & beverage. Other stocks the investment bank sees outperforming "as the China growth story evolves" include internet services provider NetEase , technology hardware manufacturer Xiaomi , and manufacturing conglomerate BYD . China-focused ETFs Elsewhere, Saxo's Wong has his eye on the new infrastructure (such as 5G technology), industrial technology and agricultural technology themes.
Persons: Redmond Wong, Wong, Goldman Sachs, Stocks, Goldman, Saxo's Wong, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Clement Tan Organizations: Shenzhen Component, Saxo, CNBC, National Bureau of Statistics, Tech, Baidu, Galaxy Entertainment, Mining, China Resources Beer, Miniso, Hong Kong Exchange, CSI Agriculture, CSI 5G Communications, CSI Technology, Enterprises Locations: Shenzhen, China, Taiwan, India, South Korea, Brazil, Mexico
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're still expecting a weaker China growth forecast going into next year, says HSBC's Fred NeumannFred Neumann, Chief Asia Economist and Co-Head of Global Research at HSBC, discusses the outlook for China and the broader Asia economy.
Persons: We're, Fred Neumann Fred Neumann Organizations: Chief Asia, Global Research, HSBC Locations: China, Asia
The new economic measures laid out by the U.K. government "will likely increase inequality", according to a spokesperson from the International Monetary Fund. BEIJING — The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday raised its China growth forecast to 5.4% for 2023. The IMF cited better-than-expected third-quarter growth and Beijing's recent policy announcements. However, the IMF still expects growth to slow next year to 4.6% "amid continuing weakness in the property market and subdued external demand." In October, the IMF had lowered its growth forecast for China to 5% this year and 4.2% next year.
Persons: Gita Gopinath Organizations: International Monetary Fund, Monetary Fund, IMF Locations: BEIJING, China
Amundi Institute discusses outlook for China's economy
  + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina growth will be lower but more stable if it cuts reliance on property sector: Amundi InstituteMahmood Pradhan of the Amundi Institute discusses the economic outlook for China.
Persons: Mahmood Pradhan Organizations: Amundi, Amundi Institute Locations: China
China's exports and imports drop again in September
  + stars: | 2023-10-13 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
In U.S.-dollar terms, exports fell by 6.2% last month from a year ago. China's exports have fallen on a year-on-year basis every month this year starting in May. The last positive print for imports on a year-on-year basis was in September last year. For the first three quarters of the year, China's exports to the U.S. fell by 16.4%, while imports dropped by 6% during that time. The volume of China's cosmetics imports fell by 14.2% in the first three quarters compared to a year ago.
Organizations: Future Publishing, Getty, Imports, Reuters, European Union, CNBC, Association of Southeast, Nations, EU, U.S, Monetary Fund, Initiative Locations: Qingdao, Shandong province, BEIJING, China, U.S, Russia, Europe, Southeast Asia
A foreign currency dealer counts US dollar notes at a currency market in Karachi on July 19, 2022. The dollar remained firm on Friday, putting pressure across a basket of currencies as stronger-than-expected U.S. consumer inflation revived prospects that the Federal Reserve will have to keep rates higher for longer. U.S. consumer prices were pushed higher by a jump in rental costs in September, data showed on Thursday. On the day, markets are also focused on a handful of economic data from China out later in the Asian morning, including trade data, consumer inflation and producer prices for September. The Australian dollar , which often trades as a proxy for China growth, stood at $0.6321, while the kiwi fell to $0.59275.
Persons: David Doyle, Macquarie, Kyle Rodda, Sterling Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bloomberg News Locations: Karachi, U.S, Tokyo, China
How the $13 trillion economy's slowdown will affect other emerging markets is still an unanswered question for investors. "Lower for longer Chinese growth is shaping a new regime of investments," Amundi's head of emerging markets Yerlan Syzdykov told Reuters. The World Bank trimmed its 2024 China growth forecast to 4.4% from 4.8%. 6/DEVELOPING REFORMThe World Bank, IMF and other multilateral development banks are under pressure to boost lending to poorer countries to fund development and tackle climate change. China and other large emerging economies have long demanded a greater say in the global financial architecture, which is still dominated by parameters set out by the 1944 Bretton Woods meeting, where the IMF and World Bank were established.
Persons: Abdelhak, Joseph Cuthbertson, Syzdykov, Anna Gelpern, Gregory Smith, Smith, Mehmet Simsek, Tayyip Erdogan, Erdogan, drubbing, Timothy Ash, Jorgelina, Rosario, Rachel Savage, Marc Jones, Karin Strohecker, Christina Fincher Organizations: International Monetary Fund, World Bank, Palais des, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, International Monetary, PineBridge Investments, Reuters, Bank, Ukraine, U.S, Kyiv, Paris Club, IMF, American, London, G Investments, JPMorgan, Egypt IMF, Fitch, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Finance, BlueBay Asset Management, Thomson Locations: Palais, Palais des Congres, Marrakech, Morocco, Argentina, Pakistan, Kenya, Egypt, CHINA, China, UKRAINE, Ukraine, Zambia, Sri Lanka, Ghana, Georgetown, Nigeria, TURKEY, Ankara, New York, Washington, London, Woods
Dollar holds fast, yen in shaky territory ahead of FOMC
  + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( Brigid Riley | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
The U.S. dollar index , which measures the greenback against a basket of rivals, stayed mostly flat at 105.17 as traders awaited the Fed's rate decision. Attention stayed fixed on the yen as U.S. and Japanese authorities heaped on fresh comments about the possibility of intervention. The yen last sat around 147.83 versus the greenback, off Tuesday's low of 147.92 though hovering near the 10-month trough against the dollar ahead of the FOMC announcement. Elsewhere in Asia, the offshore yuan was largely unchanged after China met market expectations by keeping its benchmark lending rates unchanged on Wednesday, but later ticked down 0.1% to 7.3103 per dollar. The Australian dollar , a proxy for China growth, fell nearly 0.1% in the Asian afternoon, while the New Zealand dollar was flat, down from Tuesday's two-week high against the dollar.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Carol Kong, Masato Kanda, Janet Yellen, Brigid Riley, Gerry Doyle Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Federal Reserve, U.S, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Washington, Treasury, Bank of Japan's, New Zealand, Bank of England, bitcoin BTC, Thomson Locations: Japan, U.S, Asia, China, bitcoin
Dollar firm but softens against yen ahead of FOMC
  + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( Brigid Riley | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
TOKYO, Sept 20 (Reuters) - The dollar remained firm on Wednesday but softened slightly against the yen ahead of a much-anticipated rate decision by the Federal Reserve later in the day. The U.S. dollar index , which measures the greenback against a basket of rivals, stayed mostly flat at 105.13 as traders awaited the Fed's rate decision. Dollar/yen could see some upside pressure after a hawkish FOMC meeting, she added. The yen last sat nearly 0.1% higher at 147.77 versus the greenback, off Tuesday's low of 147.92 though hovering near the 10-month trough against the dollar ahead of the FOMC announcement. The New Zealand dollar ticked up over 0.2% against the dollar near $0.5950.
Persons: Carol Kong, Masato Kanda, Brigid Riley, Gerry Doyle Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Bank of Japan's, Reserve Bank, Australia's, New Zealand, Bank of England, bitcoin BTC, Thomson Locations: TOKYO, China, bitcoin
The Asian Development Bank trimmed its 2023 growth forecast for the region to 4.7% on the back of China's embattled property sector and a persistently high interest rate environment. "The PRC's property market poses a downside risk and could hold back regional growth," ADB said in its outlook report released Wednesday. China's property sector has languished ever since Evergrande defaulted in 2021. ADB also lowered its China growth forecast from 5% to 4.9%. "Although inflation is coming down, prices are still somewhat elevated and we're seeing with high interest rates, cautious attitude by some investors in different parts of the region."
Persons: Evergrande, Albert Park, CNBC's, El Niño Organizations: Asian Development Bank, ADB Locations: China's, China, Southeast Asia
Among China-focused investment firms, only four U.S. dollar-denominated venture capital funds established between 2015 and 2020 have at least returned investors all the money they put in. Alternative assets include venture capital, but not publicly traded stocks and bonds. Preqin doesn't track every single China VC fund, and only included those with data as of the end of last year or more recently. In the world of early-stage investing, "limited partners" (typically institutions) give money to "general partners" (venture capital funds) to invest into startups. The outperforming funds were: Loyal Valley Capital Advantage Fund I, Hillhouse Fund II, Oceanpine USD Fund I and HighLight Capital USD Fund II.
Persons: Preqin, , Reuben Lai, , Reuben Lai Preqin, they'd, Alex Shum, Preqin's Lai, there's, Lai, Jinjian Zhang, Vitalbridge, Zhang Organizations: Nurphoto, Getty, ., China VC, CNBC, Fengshion, Investment Fund, LYFE Capital, GGV, BioTrack, U.S, Capital, II, Sequoia, Sequoia Capital China Growth Fund, TPG NewQuest Locations: Shenzhen, China, BEIJING, That's, Preqin, Greater China, Beijing, IPOs, Vitalbridge, Shanghai
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